Russia Planning a Military Offensive Against Ukraine Involving 175,000 Troops

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Russia latest Tank the T-90 moving toward the Ukraine-Russian border.

As the holiday season begins and the year draws to a near end, the US intelligence unclassified a document that might make this winter less festive. This document revealed a sudden Russian military buildup along the border of Ukraine. It is still unclear if they are planning a full-scale invasion or if they’re building up pressure to extract concessions, but America and its allies are preparing for all contingencies. If war was to be declared, it could lead the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), a military alliance between 30 countries, including the United States, United Kingdom, and France, to join on Ukraine’s side, leading to the first global conflict since World War 2. General Sir Nicholas Patrick Carter, former chief of the UK defense staff, said that the risk of an accidental war with Russia is greater than it was during the Cold War.

The document, which includes satellite photos, shows newly arrived units and equipment in several Russian military camps at Yelnya, Pogonovo, Soloti, Novoozernoye, and Bakhchysarai which were several months ago, half empty. The newly deployed units are 50 battlefield tactical groups, which make up most of the Russian forces. Along with them are the new equipment, such as the latest T-90A and the older, but still reliable, T-72B3 Russian tanks, with BMP-3 infantry carrying armored fighting vehicles, 2S19 Msta mobile artillery vehicles, and Buk mobile surface-to-air missile systems. Ukrainian and US intelligence believes that Su-57 stealth fighter jets and ballistic missiles are already in place and that soldiers will continue to be sent to Ukraine, resulting in a buildup of about 175,000 soldiers. Since the war against Pro-Russian separatists in 2014, the Ukraine military has undergone tremendous improvement, with the current army standing at about 255,000 active personnel. However, military experts disagree on whether the Ukraine military can stop or halt the Russians, seeing that the Ukraine military arsenal mainly consists of aging soviet weaponry and outdated equipment.

This sudden escalation came as the Russians demanded an agreement from America: Ukraine will not join NATO or the EU. The EU is an economic and political union of 27 countries, formed to bring together the countries of Europe. Fearing for too much Western influence in Eastern Europe, President Putin demanded that NATO abandon all military activity there. This included pulling soldiers out from the NATO Eastern European allies and not deploying missiles in countries such as Poland and Romania since the missiles could easily reach Moscow in ten minutes. With the recent purchase of Turkish military drones and an accusation that Ukraine is building up troops to take back Russian-backed separatist lands, President Putin has mentioned that Russia will, “take adequate military-technical response measures and react harshly to unfriendly steps.”

Secretary of State, Antony Blinken, warns the Russians that there will be severe consequences, including economic sanctions if Russia decides to invade. When asked what America would do if the Russians did decide to invade, President Biden said that he would impose measures “like none he’s ever seen.” However, Biden made it clear that deploying US troops to Ukraine was “not on the table.” Despite this, the Biden administration is considering sending military advisers and new equipment to aid the Ukrainians, such as the Javelin anti-tank missile, Stinger portable air-defense missile, and Mi-17 transport helicopters. However, others in the administration believe that this equipment and assistance would increase the tensions with Russia.

Many believe that if Russia were to declare war on Ukraine, it might prompt China to invade Taiwan, starting the one thing that everyone fears: World War 3. All we can assume of World War 3, is that it would be like what Albert Einstein is often quoted for, “I know not with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones.”